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Experience of Multifactor Analysis and Evaluation of Mortality from Circulatory System Diseases in a Municipal District

This study addresses the issue of dynamics and analysis of mortality factors from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the municipal district of Kuzbass in the Kemerovo Region. Currently, there is a shortage of such studies among Russian authors, as they tend to focus on the problem mainly at the level of individual constituent entities of the Russian Federation, sub-federal or national ones. The aim of this review is to analyze the factors influencing the dynamics and prognosis of mortality from CVD in the municipal district of the Kemerovo region – Kuzbass. Materials and methods. Federal statistical observation forms were used as information sources. The main research method was multivariate regression analysis performed using the Gretl cross-platform software package for econometric analysis. The least squares method was applied in developing the regression model. Results. In the course of the study, the factors characterized by a significant statistical relationship were identified and included in the final improved regression model. The resulting linear regression equation shows a statistical relationship between an increase in the adult population and the proportion of people older than working age with an increase in mortality from CVD, while a decrease in this indicator is associated with positive dynamics in the number of visits related to preventive and other purposes. Conclusion. The revealed links between individual factors of the dynamics of mortality from CD in a large municipal area of the Kemerovo region can serve as a basis for the development of organizational solutions aimed at reducing this indicator. The prospects for further research are seen in the replication of this research approach to other municipal districts of the Kemerovo region – Kuzbass.

DOI: 10.52575/2687-0940-2025-48-3-292-304
Number of views: 43 (view statistics)
Number of downloads: 31
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